Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.075517 0.084702 0.094100 0.104406 0.115361 0.126630 0.139069
2025-06-01 0.057176 0.070387 0.084615 0.100941 0.119022 0.138310 0.160322
2025-06-08 0.045435 0.060736 0.077956 0.098449 0.121870 0.147531 0.177507
2025-06-15 0.039313 0.056336 0.076195 0.100511 0.128966 0.160752 0.198499
2025-06-22 0.033982 0.052094 0.073954 0.101423 0.134239 0.171506 0.216378
2025-06-29 0.031404 0.050876 0.075026 0.105983 0.143547 0.186729 0.239241
2025-07-06 0.027469 0.047445 0.072994 0.106470 0.147773 0.195861 0.254944
2025-07-13 0.027187 0.048805 0.076962 0.114321 0.160849 0.215406 0.282815
2025-07-20 0.022905 0.044204 0.072886 0.111807 0.161082 0.219567 0.292527
2025-07-27 0.021543 0.043619 0.073999 0.115810 0.169281 0.233217 0.313438
2025-08-03 0.019250 0.041418 0.072756 0.116628 0.173410 0.241898 0.328405
2025-08-10 0.017254 0.039460 0.071692 0.117556 0.177588 0.250577 0.343336
2025-08-17 0.015204 0.037378 0.070557 0.118639 0.182355 0.260499 0.360463
2025-08-24 0.012205 0.033356 0.066399 0.115490 0.181621 0.263654 0.369490
2025-08-31 0.009766 0.029904 0.062794 0.112871 0.181402 0.267328 0.379067
2025-09-07 0.008707 0.028842 0.062720 0.115121 0.187547 0.278962 0.398419
2025-09-14 0.007519 0.027335 0.061824 0.116111 0.191959 0.288380 0.415034
2025-09-21 0.007188 0.027551 0.063667 0.121053 0.201694 0.304596 0.440131
2025-09-28 0.006128 0.026010 0.062536 0.121581 0.205416 0.313116 0.455657
2025-10-05 0.006457 0.027670 0.066769 0.130072 0.220036 0.335679 0.488798
2025-10-12 0.005042 0.024985 0.063534 0.127355 0.219254 0.338385 0.497066
2025-10-19 0.004770 0.025055 0.064996 0.131681 0.228168 0.353634 0.521117
2025-10-26 0.004079 0.023891 0.064223 0.132564 0.232288 0.362655 0.537336